Democratic nominee Kamala Harris has taken a slight lead over her Republican rival, Donald Trump, just one month before the 2024 U.S. presidential election, according to an October 8 New York Times/Siena College poll. The poll, conducted between September 29 and October 6, surveyed 3,385 likely voters and found that 49% favored Harris while 46% supported Trump.
Kamala Harris Gains Momentum in Presidential Race
This marks the first time since July that Harris has edged ahead in the New York Times/Siena College poll, suggesting she may be gaining traction on key issues such as “temperament, trust, and change,” factors that could be pivotal in the final stretch of the election.
However, despite Harris’ narrow lead, the race remains highly competitive, with many national polls showing the two candidates in a deadlock.
Conflicting Election Forecasts
The poll’s findings contrast with Polymarket’s 2024 Election Forecast, which shows Trump leading Harris 52% to 46%. On Monday, X CEO Elon Musk commented on the decentralized prediction market’s forecast, claiming it may be “more accurate than polls” due to the presence of “actual money on the line.”
Crypto Takes Center Stage in 2024 Election
Cryptocurrencies have become a major talking point in the 2024 presidential race. Donald Trump has embraced digital assets, recently launching his family’s crypto platform, World Liberty Financial. At the launch, Trump warned that the crypto industry would be “living in hell” if he were to lose in November. He has also vowed to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler due to the agency’s “hostile” stance toward the U.S. crypto sector.
“We will have regulations, but they will be written by people who love your industry, not those who hate it,” Trump declared during Bitcoin Conference 2024.
In contrast, Kamala Harris has pledged to promote fair digital asset innovation while ensuring consumer and investor protection. During a campaign stop in Pittsburgh last month, Harris emphasized her commitment to fostering a “safe business environment” with transparent and consistent regulatory frameworks.
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