Bitcoin (BTC) recently fell below the $60,000 mark, hitting an intraday low of $59,544. Despite an increase in new Bitcoin addresses and dovish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, the cryptocurrency couldn’t prevent its decline.
Impact of Strong US Dollar and Fed Uncertainty on Bitcoin
The US dollar has gained strength, buoyed by stronger-than-expected US labor market data, particularly the increase in JOLTs job openings from 7.919 million in April to 8.140 million in May. This has reduced the probability of imminent rate cuts, reinforcing the dollar’s value and adding to Bitcoin’s downward pressure.
Key Points:
- Strengthening US Dollar: Positive labor market data has boosted the dollar’s value.
- Fed Uncertainty: Markets are awaiting clarity on rate cut decisions as Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasizes the need for continued progress towards the 2% inflation target.
- Increase in Job Openings: The 2.7% rise in job openings signals a robust labor market, potentially leading to higher wages and increased consumer spending.
- Bitcoin’s Decline: The stronger dollar and Fed uncertainty may weigh on Bitcoin’s price, as investors gravitate towards traditional assets in the short term.
Bitcoin’s future trajectory hinges on the Fed’s actions and the broader economic landscape. If the US economy remains strong, the Fed may delay rate cuts, potentially pushing Bitcoin prices lower. Conversely, signs of economic weakness or a shift in Fed policy could change Bitcoin’s outlook. Investors should closely monitor economic data and Fed statements for clues about Bitcoin’s direction.
Ethereum ETFs Set to Launch on July 8th: Potential Impact on Bitcoin
The imminent launch of spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States on July 8th is expected to stir the crypto market. Analysts predict that Ethereum (ETH) will outperform Bitcoin (BTC) as these ETFs attract substantial inflows, potentially adding 0.75-1% to Ethereum’s circulating supply within five months.
Key Points:
- Ethereum ETFs Launch: Spot ETH ETFs will be available in the US on July 8th.
- Ethereum’s Potential Surge: Analysts at K33 Research anticipate Ethereum will benefit from steady inflows and outperform Bitcoin.
- Bitcoin Facing Challenges: Bitcoin’s price could be negatively impacted by the Ethereum ETF launch and the $8.5 billion in BTC repayments to Mt. Gox creditors.
- ETH/BTC Ratio Reversal: The ETH/BTC ratio has already reversed its year-long decline against Bitcoin, currently standing at 0.055.
While the launch of Ethereum ETFs is expected to boost Ethereum’s price, it could also create challenges for Bitcoin. Investors may shift their focus towards Ethereum, leading to increased selling pressure on Bitcoin. Additionally, the large BTC repayments to Mt. Gox creditors could further exacerbate the downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently priced at $60,830, reflecting a 1.94% decrease. The four-hour chart shows significant levels starting with a pivot point at $61,700. Immediate resistance lies at $63,030, with further barriers at $63,880 and $64,735. Conversely, support begins at $60,695, with additional levels at $59,900 and $59,070.
Technical indicators suggest caution; the RSI stands at 37, indicating approaching oversold conditions. The 50 EMA is at $62,060, currently above the price, hinting at potential resistance.
In conclusion, while BTC remains bullish above $60,000, a breach below this threshold could potentially trigger a sharp downward trend. Investors should keep a close watch on economic indicators and the Fed’s actions to better understand Bitcoin’s future movements.
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